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What was the real magnitude of the 2003 heat wave in western Europe?
The record-breaking 2003 heat wave has been described as an extremely unlikely event given the observed warming, and to share similar characteristics with future summers simulated by state-of-the-art climate models for the end of the 21st century. Updates of summer heat-related mortality raised the initial estimates up to 70000 excess deaths.
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CMTool is a climate driven mortality prediction tool, which aims to strengthen public health decision making ahead of extreme temperature events, such as heat waves and cold snaps across Europe.
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